2030

A Future Prognosis

Athena @ Shaping Tomorrow

5 February 2023
Introduction
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Contents
User Guide
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Sources
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Twitter Searches
Web Searches
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World Outlook
Main factors that cause something to happen globally
The Netherlands is facing a shortage of 80,000 care workers, and the World Health Organization predicts that the global healthcare workforce will be short by around 10 million people by 2030. TecHR
We cannot achieve a 30% reduction in global methane emissions by 2030 if we ignore subsistence and smallholder farmers in developing nations. Time
The regulatory approval is not only a coup for Upside and Schulze, but also a huge win for the entire upstart industry, working to produce meat outside of an animal, which McKinsey estimates will be a $25 billion global business by 2030. DNyuz
Global regions, coloured according to number of forecasts
SWOT
Strengths
  • Biodiversity Conference that took place late last year in Montreal, Canada, produced a 30 by 30 agreement committing to put a stop to biodiversity loss by protecting 30% of the Earth by 2030. Middle East Institute
  • The Fair Seas campaign is calling for 30% of Ireland's ocean to be fully protected by 2030. Mission Blue
  • Fungi led to the development of the first major marine ecotourism industry in Ireland, which attracted renowned scientists from across the globe, and in turn, ignited a movement to inspire people both near and far to protect 30% of Ireland's EEZ by 2030. Mission Blue
Weaknesses
  • Inflationary pressures meant that many large roads projects would likely be delayed until 2030 or beyond. / UK Forbes
  • With a predicted skills gap of approximately 2.1 million unfilled jobs by 2030, finding the necessary talent to implement and maintain a smart factory is a challenge faced by all in the manufacturing sector. SYSPRO US Blog
  • The demand for seawater source is projected to witness growth at a CAGR of 9.6% from 2023 to 2030 owing to the growing scarcity of water for domestic and industrial usage, which is likely to be a major driver in increasing demand for seawater desalination. marketpublishers
Opportunities
  • Tesla has stated that it might open 10 to 12 new factories to increase EV production to meet its goal of selling 20 million EVs annually by 2030. Research & Development World
  • CarbonCure aims to remove 500 megatons of CO2 annually from the concrete industry by 2030. Schneider Electric Blog
  • Outside a nominal scenario, it is possible the transportation sector will need to contribute much more to climate goals, which could result in over 200 million EVs and a 20 x battery capacity increase before 2030. Dealroom.co
Threats
  • By 2030 British families will be worse off than Polish. The Times
  • An ongoing process of continuous training and professional development lies ahead in an industry forecast to exceed $420 billion by 2030. electronics news
  • A number of other EU countries have done a U-turn and postponed the retirement of coal until 2030 because of the energy crisis due to the disruption of affordable natural gas supplies from Russia. Portuguese American Journal
Influencers
Countries
Cities
People
Organizations
S-Curve

A framework that describes a 4-phase level of maturity to help determine potential and inform innovation strategy.

Weak
autonomous, Mars, computer, airplane, augmented reality, market
Emerging
EV, battery, artificial intelligence, car, hydrogen, 5G
Maturing
carbon, emission, country, demand, CO2, electricity
Declining
emission, coal, carbon, CO2, country, GDP
Sentiment
Past Year: Stable
Compare changing sentiment to a benchmark of all forecasts
The Netherlands is facing a shortage of 80,000 care workers, and the World Health Organization predicts that the global healthcare workforce will be short by around 10 million people by 2030. TecHR
One potential risk is the possibility of AI being used to automate tasks, which could lead to job displacement - a McKinsey Global Institute study found that by 2030, between 400 million and 800 million employees around the world could be displaced by automation. Forbes
PEST
Political
  • The annual financing needs of developing countries through 2030 is $71 billion. Middle East Institute
  • More states will need to advance clean electricity standards and goals in line with the national targets of 80% clean by 2030 and 100% clean power by 2035. NRDC
  • Reaching 80% clean power by 2030 is essential to achieve both the U.S.'s 2030 international target and President Biden's commitment to 100% clean power by 2035. NRDC
Economic
  • Riyadh is developing many Vision 2030-related projects along the western Saudi coast and its islands. Middle East Institute
  • Annual ammonia demand in Japan could reach three million tons by 2030 and 30 million tons by 2050. The Maritime Executive
  • The global ocean economy is expected to double in value by 2030 to $3 trillion. businesslive
Social
  • Biodiversity Conference that took place late last year in Montreal, Canada, produced a 30 by 30 agreement committing to put a stop to biodiversity loss by protecting 30% of the Earth by 2030. Middle East Institute
  • The UK government has recently introduced a legally binding target to halt species abundance declines in England by 2030, with similar timebound EU targets currently under discussion. The Ecologist
  • While the global LNG industry is expected to remain profitable into 2030, researchers wrote diverging trajectories of energy transitions for each region and sub-region might be challenging. Natural Gas Intelligence
Technological
  • In terms of end-use, the high-technology product segment is expected to register a promising growth rate from 2023 to 2030. marketpublishers
  • In terms of deployment, the cloud segment is anticipated to register the highest CAGR from 2023 to 2030. marketpublishers
  • The digital tickets type segment is expected to register a CAGR of 19.2% from 2023 to 2030. marketpublishers
Financial Impact
The world could reach debt levels of maybe $3 quadrillion by 2030. Algora Blog
Metaverse is being expected to be valued at $5 trillion by 2030, with an estimated $2 to $2.6 trillion impact specifically on e-commerce. Pobuca
The metaverse alone has the potential to generate $5 trillion in value by 2030, and the internet of things is expected to have an impact of $12.6 trillion. Daily Pakistan Global
Click on the dots or the lines to see the connections
System Map
Organizations
Sectors
Cities
Countries
People
Scenarios
Creates plausible alternative futures of what can happen and encourages development of a robust, agile response
The International Energy Agency's (IEA) pathway to a net-zero global energy sector by 2050 includes a 25% reduction in coking coal use by 2030 and a reduction of at least 83% by 2050. Edie
French food giant Danone said Tuesday it would slash planet-warming methane emissions by 30% by 2030, vowing to change the way the 1/4 cows it uses are raised and milked. Phys Org
By the end of 2030, there will be about 29.42 billion connected IoT devices around the world. IncrediTools
Warnings
Changing proportion of published forecasts
Overconsumption and e-waste threaten life on Earth, with estimates suggesting we will need two planets' resources by 2030. EC Electronics
By 2030, the majority of the world's extreme poor, which includes a large proportion of displaced people, will live in fragile and conflict affected states - so job creation in fragile settings has the significant potential to address poverty. World Bank Blogs
Solutions
Know how others are tackling issues with this topic
With methane emissions emerging as one of the top priorities in solving the climate crisis, governments from across the world have committed to reductions of at least 30% by 2030. SG Voice
Kenya has joined the rest of the world in committing to address food and nutrition insecurity to end hunger by 2030. The Star
The U.S. should adopt a national goal of driving down lifecycle methane emissions from domestically-produced gas to less than 0.3% of overall gas volume by 2030, from about 1.7% in recent years, so that U.S. gas has demonstrably the lowest methane emissions in the world. Progressive Policy Institute
Key topics
Extremes
Investigate what’s transforming or collapsing
The Belt and Road cooperation will lift 7.6 million people out of extreme poverty and 32 million people out of moderate poverty around the world by 2030. IOL
By 2030, up to two-thirds of the global extreme poor may be living in fragile and conflict-affected situations. OpenGlobalRights
By 2030, 7% of the global population, nearly 600 million people, could still be living in extreme poverty. World Bank Live
What's Next
Changing proportion of material mentioning future years
The world faces a 40% water deficit by 2030 under a business-as-usual scenario and ESG Clarity points to evidence that asset managers may - for the first time - have specific asks on reporting and behaviours of companies when it comes to water management. FTI Strategic Communications
Samsung's signal to divest from coal comes amid global movement to cancel all new coal power projects and end coal generation in advanced economies by 2030 to avoid climate catastrophe. Insure Our Future Global
Questions
Can?
Can the world 'halt and reverse' biodiversity loss by 2030? Carbon Brief
Can we really achieve 'zero climate disasters' by 2030? Euronews.com
How high can Bitcoin price go by the end of 2030? Boys & Girls Clubs of Senegal
How?
How will people living in Malta be making money in 2030, 2040, and 2050? Manuel Delia
How will SDVs develop by 2030? Yahoo
How can methane be reduced by 10% by 2030 with pastoral agriculture still thriving? Farmers Weekly
Who?
With global healthcare worker shortages estimated by WHO to hit 18 million by 2030, how much longer can the NHS's international recruitment safety net exist? Health Service Journal
Who gained from global growth last decade - and who will benefit by 2030? McKinsey & Company
If 50% of the Big Three's cars are electric in 2030, who do they think is going to buy the other 50%? Charged EVs
What?
What will gold price be in 2030? BTCC
What skills are needed for a future workplace where one billion jobs will be transformed by technology by 2030? Forbes
Wat is the global offshore wind energy market status in 2022, and what will be its size in 2030? TMC NEWS
When?
What then is Nigeria's Zero Hunger policy and what strategies do we intend to create a Nigeria free of hunger in 2030 or at least in 2060 when Nigeria will be a hundred years as a sovereign country? Vanguard News
What then is Nigeria's Zero Hunger policy and what strategies do we intend to create a Nigeria free of hunger in 2030 or at least in 2060 when Nigeria will be hundred years as a sovereign country? THISDAY LIVE
What then is Nigeria's Zero Hunger policy and what strategies do we intend to create a country free of hunger in 2030 or at least in 2060 when Nigeria will be 100 years as a sovereign country? Healthwise
Will?
Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030? Mind the Post
Will we achieve a circular economy by 2030? The Fifth Estate
What will Wi-Fi be in 2030? IEEE Global Communications Conference
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